The situation in Ukraine is becoming more complicated. Referendums have been held in areas where pro-Russian sentiment is strong. They will be incorporated into Russia raising the prospects of direct war between the US-led NATO and Russia.
The stupidity of US foreign policy elites has driven Russia, China and Iran closer together into an alliance that will consign US pretensions of being a global power into the dustbin of history. The world will definitely be a much safer place for it.
The global geostrategic situation is changing rapidly. New players have emerged to challenge US piracy and gangsterism. Islamic Iran has emerged as an important player in this new set-up. Its massive financial, economic, political and strategic agreements are laying the foundations of a new global order.
Russia is a very important producer of natural gas and oil. It is also one of the leading exporters of grain. It cannot be isolated in the global energy markets. Those that try to do so will themselves suffer badly as Germany and a number of European countries are experiencing.
The US and its allies have made a strategic mistake by provoking the war in Ukraine with Russia. Ukraine has lost the war and the west, especially the US will pay a heavy price for this folly. The American century is over before it hardly began.
The conflict in Ukraine has opened up space for intrigue in other regions: Central Asia and the Caucasus. NATO regimes would like to create problems for Russia in its near-abroad but there are serious risks for NATO as well.
Russia was left with no choice but to take strong action in Ukraine to prevent its becoming a NATO member, and to end the genocide of Russian-speaking people in the Donbass region. Moscow will not allow NATO troops on its borders, period!
Russia’s “special military operations” in Ukraine appear to be on track to achieve their objectives. The flooding of weapons and mercenaries into Ukraine seem not to have made much of a difference. America’s belligerent policy has also exposed cracks in the NATO alliance.
The ulama in Iran have managed to achieve remarkable success in managing their foreign policy while the Kremlin has failed despite being familiar with international politics for far longer than the men with turbans.
There are many variables in the proxy war between Russia and the US-led NATO in Ukraine. The economic dimension is one of them but it is not all a one-way street. Since Russia’s economy is deeply intertwined with that of Europe, sanctions on Russia are negatively impacting Europe as well.
The US-led NATO kept pushing its eastward expansion until Russian President Vladimir Putin ran out of patience. He has shown that he will not tolerate NATO forces and weapons on his border in Ukraine and insists on making Ukraine a “neutral” country a la Finland. He seems to be nearing his objectives.
As western media outlets continue their fixation with news from Russia and NATO capitals over the unpredictable geopolitical developments in Ukraine, the end game for all sides remains unclear and not properly understood. While both Russia and NATO regimes adjust their objectives and tactics based on the rapidly evolving situation, there are certain fixed points.
