The situation in Ukraine is becoming more complicated. Referendums have been held in areas where pro-Russian sentiment is strong. They will be incorporated into Russia raising the prospects of direct war between the US-led NATO and Russia.
As the war in Ukraine grinds on, the essential geopolitical strategy for Russia will be to continue to create divergences between Europe and the US. For Washington, the primary geopolitical angle of its proxy-war in Ukraine against Russia is to retain Europe within its framework of how to deal with Russia.
America’s “help” to Ukraine is not so much aid as it is loans that have to be repaid. More critically, the US has used the conflict in Ukraine to crush Europe’s attempt to gain freedom from Uncle Sam’s deathly embrace. So much for US friendship.
With nearly 1.2 billion people already facing hunger and starvation, the conflict in Ukraine has created food insecurity for hundreds of millions of other people. This is because both Ukraine and Russia are grain producing countries. The war has disrupted shipment of grain
Russia’s “special military operations” in Ukraine appear to be on track to achieve their objectives. The flooding of weapons and mercenaries into Ukraine seem not to have made much of a difference. America’s belligerent policy has also exposed cracks in the NATO alliance.
The ulama in Iran have managed to achieve remarkable success in managing their foreign policy while the Kremlin has failed despite being familiar with international politics for far longer than the men with turbans.
Despite US bluster, America and NATO regimes are not about to send their troops into Ukraine to fight against Russia. The reason? Russia is a nuclear power and NATO forces would trigger a third world war. The lesson is clear: being a nuclear-armed state deters would be aggressors.
The US-led NATO kept pushing its eastward expansion until Russian President Vladimir Putin ran out of patience. He has shown that he will not tolerate NATO forces and weapons on his border in Ukraine and insists on making Ukraine a “neutral” country a la Finland. He seems to be nearing his objectives.