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Daily News Analysis

Dynamic of US’s internal unravelling

Crescent International

During an interview with CNN, Thomas Friedman, the notorious propagandist for US imperial domination, raised alarm that civil war could break out after the November presidential selection process.

Friedman’s prognosis is now an accepted point of discussion among the US establishment.

In November 2019, the Atlantic magazine, known for peddling America’s imperial narrative published a widely viewed segment analyzing the parallels between the fall of Rome and the United States of America.

Thus, what would be the specifics of US internal unravelling?

While opponents of the current US regime place great emphasis on Donald Trump personally as a key saboteur if he loses, other factors could play a far more crucial part in the internal unravelling process.

Many analysts agree that the chances of violence are much greater if Trump loses.

This is not only because he will hit political and personal tantrum but also because a large segment of his core constituency is ignorant and militant.

Further, Trumpists are embedded within the US security establishment.

This mix creates a deadly potential if Trump loses and refuses to concede.

However, armed and ill-informed white-supremacists associated with Trump’s camp are not the only factor that may trigger the unravelling process.

There is also the race factor which will aggravate tensions.

Joe Biden’s camp is also sending signals that it might not concede defeat if he loses in November.

In August 2020, Hillary Clinton, who is close to the Biden campaign stated that “Joe Biden should not concede under any circumstances because I think this is going to drag out.”

This greatly increases the chances of internal instability regardless of what the results turn out to be.

The pro-Biden camp is also not comprised of people of integrity incapable of triggering unrest.

In addition to tribalistic political rivalries, there is growing social and economic disconnect between different geographic parts of the US.

This can result in the separatism aspect coming into play.

California and Texas are obvious examples, but majority Black and Hispanic communities cannot be discounted either.

They may want to completely disassociate from the US if it is to be ruled by Trump for another four years.

It should also be noted that Trump’s brash and ignorant conduct may make his second term even more reckless than his first.

He will no longer have to worry about being a one-term president.

In addition, it cannot be ruled out that Trump might attempt to change the US constitution in order to run for a third term.

Both concerns are real and greatly increase the chances of instability.

Overall, there are many variables that can trigger mass violence regardless of who becomes president.

Countries bordering the US, or which are heavily integrated into the US security and political architecture, should think of contingency plans if situation in the US spirals out of control.

Soviet Union’s collapse was triggered by the ethnic separatist factor with some political orientation—that is, being independent from Russia.

In the US case, internal dynamics are a mishmash of economic, racial, political and ideological tensions.

If Friedman’s concerns come true, the US of 2021 would look more like the Syria of 2011 rather than the USSR of 1989.

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