Once the current regional war goes from low to high intensity, Israel will experience far greater difficulties than its intelligence analysts foresee.
Prior to reviewing Israel’s dire military situation, an important fact must be borne in mind.
Currently Israel’s primary military adversary is the Palestinian resistance in Gaza.
Yet despite massive external backing, there is growing consensus even among pro-Israeli circles that the zionist military’s performance is far below what was hitherto projected.
The bulk of Israel’s military hardware comes from the US.
Without the unconditional backing of Washington, any regional army would be able to chew the zionist army.
Amateurs talk tactics while professionals look at logistics, so let us begin with basic logistical realities.
The US is very far from Palestine.
It is much further than it is from Ukraine.
In the proxy war in Ukraine against Russia, despite the industrial, military, and political backing of numerous EU regimes, the US is still struggling to adequately supply Ukraine, not just in financial terms, but also in logistical terms.
How will the US provide multifaceted logistical backing to Israel in a geopolitically more hostile environment than the one in Europe?
This will be quite problematic.
Those in doubt, just think about how a country like Yemen, with determination and geopolitical strategy, has managed to turn the logistics of the global trade upside-down.
Sanaa is doing this with minimal effort and no direct Iranian participation.
Once the regional dimension of the current war in Palestine goes into higher gear, Iran’s role will increase, so will Yemen’s.
Put two and two together and it becomes quite clear what grand problems await Israel from a logistic and geopolitical angle.
Let us now return to the micro military matters unfolding in Palestine.
Numerous videos emerging from Gaza show the Palestinian resistance is targeting the heavily-armed invading zionist military at very close range.
Israel’s multibillion-dollar heavy equipment has been rendered useless.
In urban environment, the fight is between two infantries.
This is where training along with motivation compensate for lack of sophisticated equipment.
At the infantry level, the only clear advantage the zionist militants have over the Palestinian resistance is probably their access to night vision equipment.
In all other aspects, the field is quite leveled.
While these may appear as tactical matters, viewed within the broader regional context, they assume much greater significant.
It must be remembered that the Palestinian theatre of operations against zionism is one of multiple theaters.
When the tactical difficulties Israel faces in Gaza are combined with the confrontational methodology it faces from Lebanon, Iraq, Syria, Yemen and Iran, each contributing in their own calculated manner, Tel Aviv’s prospects look quite grim.
If one looks at each of the countries listed above, within the context of the Resistance Axis, it becomes clear that the geographical leverage combined with logistical and intelligence aspects greatly overstretch zionist forces.
Missiles raining down on Israel from Yemen, Syria and Lebanon will overwhelm its air defences.
Protracted ground resistance in Palestine—Gaza and the West Bank—is exhausting its infantry and intelligence capabilities.
All these factors drain Israel’s economy, and this creates a deadly cocktail for the zionists when viewed through the time lens.
Israel has never fought a prolonged war against Islamically motivated and regionally allied forces that also enjoy state backing.
It should also be remembered that the only time Israel’s genocidal military formations fought a conventional style war in recent decades was against Hizbullah in 2006.
Experienced regional analysts have concluded that Israel was soundly defeated in 2006.
Even in the current conflict, as reported by the Washington Post on January 7, “Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) found that it will be difficult for Israel Defense Forces (IDF) to succeed because its military assets and resources would be spread too thin.”
Prior to 2006 and even after, the Israeli army was engaged more in police-like activities against poorly equipped and poorly organized civilian-driven resistance groups.
This is no longer the case.
Today, Israel is facing much better organized and significantly better equipped and experienced forces and not just in Palestine.
In historical terms, the Israeli army can best be described as Soviet-style NKVD units responsible for terrorising a society rather than a formidable military force.
As Israel does not control the regional escalation ladder, the next conventional regional war will be fought on terms and conditions not determined and framed by Tel Aviv or its western backers.
Add the global geopolitical dimension to evolving local factors.
Russia’s strategic interest is to bog down NATO regimes and their allies in a protracted conflict.
NATO regimes are doing the same to Russia in Ukraine.
Soon the zionist occupiers will get a rude awakening about what the new multipolar world order really is all about.