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Daily News Analysis

Hizbullah puts Apartheid Israel between a rock and a hard place

Crescent International

On May 25, Lebanon marked the twenty-third anniversary of the liberation of South Lebanon from Israeli occupation.

The optics of this year’s celebration, combined with regional and global dynamics, paint a very tough political and military reality for apartheid Israel in comparison to its past experience.

This year, the Islamic resistance in Lebanon conducted a brief military parade to showcase its capabilities.

The parade was widely publicized by the regional and international media.

Reporting on the event, Israel’s Channel 13 Arab affairs correspondent Hezi Simantov told viewers: “It must be said that the weapon that was not presented in this exceptional exercise is Hizbullah’s precision missiles, and it has many of them. This is the problem that keeps the security and military establishment up at night, but this did not prevent the threat of these missiles being used.”

Speaking about the Resistance and Liberation Day on May 25, Hizbullah Secretary-General Sayed Hassan Nasrallah said that “any blunder will snowball into an all-out regional war.”

This part of Sheikh Nasrallah’s speech in combination with his statement that “the outstanding human capacity in the Axis of Resistance is met by the decline in Israeli manpower and [a state of] utmost fear of engaging in any fight…You {Israel} are not the ones threatening an all-out war, we are the ones doing so.”

These words need to be understood in the broader regional and global geopolitical contexts.

Sayed Nasrallah’s words sent a powerful message to all parties in the region.

At the regional level, his message can be understood in the following terms: Syria will be part of any future military confrontation with Israel.

As Syria officially came out of the proxy war victorious, its armed forces must be taken into consideration by the zionist entity if it dares to attack Lebanon.

Sayed Nasrallah’s statement indicates that it is reasonable to expect massive Syrian assistance, whether in direct or indirect form in any future conflict with Israel.

Damascus understands that NATO regimes have their hands tied economically, politically, and even militarily to effectively reactivate their proxy militias in Syria.

Given this reality, Syria cannot be deterred from getting involved in any potential zionist attack on Lebanon.

At the global level, the war in Ukraine greatly limits the ability of Israel’s western backers to support or even handle the economic and political repercussions of a full-scale war on Israel.

Western regimes have their hands tied up on multiple levels with the war in Ukraine that all the regional and non-regional players can see quite clearly.

It should always be kept in mind that Israel is heavily subsidized by NATO regimes.

On its own, Israel is unlikely to sustain a full-scale war for a prolonged period.

In 2006, Israel suffered a humiliating political and military defeat and this was at a time when the global order was still dominated by the west.

This is no longer the case.

For the near future, it appears that the military and political deterrence which came into effect after the 2006 war will continue to hold along Lebanon’s southern border.

However, it is quite evident that if this deterrence collapses and a military conflict breaks out with Lebanon, Hizbullah, Iran, Syria and may be even Russia will utilize the new conflict as an opportunity to completely overturn the geopolitical and security architecture in the region.

The odds of doing so are in favor of the Resistance Axis like never before.

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